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CIS billet exports slow, but prices yet higher 03 August 2020 |
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CIS billet exports slow, but prices yet higher
Source: Kallanish
CIS billet export sales slowed down last week on lower availability and China's softer stance on imports, but the deals that took place commanded still higher prices, Kallanish reports.
A Ukrainian scrap-fed mill sold the usual 10,000-tonne lot to a Middle Eastern trader at $385/tonne fob Mariupol, for early-September load readiness, according to several sources. The mill sells with small prepayment. The price, considered high by most sources, was pegged by the relatively short lead time. It is most certainly a long position, as there are no buyers in the market at the moment who would pay this price, they say.
Another sale, also for 10,000t at the same fob price, was concluded to Tunisia, but from a Russian mill, at $408/t cfr. Some traders believe there is demand for more material at this level, so the Ukrainian lot may not end up being held for long.
Some material is still available in small tonnages. A Russian coastal scrap-fed mill is still offering September-casting material at $385-390/t fob. Another Russian coastal mill is also offering at $385/t fob, and supplies mainly Turkey and Italy due to logistics.
Italian demand for billet is extremely slow at the moment, sources note, but Turkey is looking at billet imports again, as prices of imported and domestic scrap continue rocketing. Turkish billet is available at $400/t fob Turkey to traders, but lead times are long, they say.
Chinese demand softened early last week, but some traders note it is about to rebound. China was bidding $410-412/t cfr, and $415/t cfr for shorter-lead-timed vessels. Some traders are expecting $420/t cfr bids this week, paving the way for more CIS sales, if large enough volumes can be found.
Traders admit that, without China's support, Black Sea billet export trade would look very differently, but they marvel at the current stability of the market.